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Turkey occupies a unique position on the global geopolitical chessboard. Situated between Europe and Asia, with a millennia-old history that spans empires, religions, and cultures, the country is often seen as a bridge between East and West. However, this bridge has been marked by tensions, contradictions, and challenges that call into question its full integration into the European Union (EU).
The human rights situation in Turkey has been the subject of recurring criticism from international organisations and European institutions. Since the attempted coup in 2016, the Turkish government has intensified repressive measures, leading to the arrest of thousands of military personnel, judges, journalists, and academics. The institutional purge that followed was justified by the executive as a matter of national security, but its effects on the rule of law have been deep and lasting.
Freedom of the press, once vibrant, is now severely restricted. Several journalists have been detained for alleged links to terrorist organisations or for criticising the government. Independent media outlets face censorship, closure, or nationalisation. The BBC and Reporters Without Borders have denounced the expulsion of correspondents and the suspension of opposition channels, undermining media pluralism and democratic transparency.
The judiciary, in turn, has been accused of lacking independence. Cases such as that of Osman Kavala, a political activist detained for political reasons, and the continued pre-trial detention of journalists despite rulings from the Constitutional Court, illustrate the fragility of legal guarantees. Executive interference in judicial decisions erodes trust in institutions and distances Turkey from European standards of justice.
Turkey’s relations with Cyprus and Greece are historically complex and remain a major obstacle to its European integration. The occupation of northern Cyprus since 1974, following a pro-Greek coup, led to the creation of the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, recognised only by Ankara. This situation remains a point of friction with the EU, which recognises only the Cypriot government in the south of the island.
With Greece, tensions have manifested in territorial disputes in the Aegean Sea and the delimitation of exclusive economic zones. The exploration of hydrocarbons in the region has exacerbated conflicts, leading to diplomatic and military confrontations. Despite periods of rapprochement, such as after the 1999 earthquake, the two countries maintain a relationship marked by distrust and rivalry. Resolving these issues is seen as essential for any progress in Turkey’s EU accession negotiations. The Union has called for dialogue and mediation, but progress has been limited and often reversed by episodes of tension.
The EU is founded on principles such as democracy, respect for human rights, the rule of law, and freedom of expression. Turkey’s political alignment with these values has been increasingly questioned in recent years. The government of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has promoted a centralisation of power, with constitutional reforms that strengthened the presidential role and weakened parliament. The repression of social movements, persecution of political opponents, and restriction of civil liberties are incompatible with the Copenhagen criteria, which define the requirements for EU accession.
The banning of LGBTI events, discrimination against religious and ethnic minorities, and censorship on social media are examples of practices that clash with European values. Although formally a candidate for accession since 1999, Turkey has seen its process stagnate, with several negotiation chapters blocked. The EU has conditioned pre-accession funding on improvements in human rights, but results have been limited.
Despite these challenges, Turkey offers a significant set of contributions that could benefit the EU. Its economy, though marked by currency volatility and inflation, is robust and diversified. With a domestic market of over 85 million people, it presents relevant commercial and industrial opportunities.
Turkey’s geographic position is strategic. Located between Europe, Asia, and the Middle East, it serves as a vital energy and logistics corridor. Pipelines, gas routes, and trade routes pass through its territory, making it an essential partner in energy security and connectivity.
Turkey’s industrial and agricultural capacity is also remarkable. The country is one of the world’s largest producers of textiles, automobiles, and agricultural products. Its integration into the European value chain could enhance the EU’s competitiveness and diversify its supply sources.
Moreover, Turkey has played an important role in managing the migration crisis, hosting millions of Syrian refugees and cooperating with the EU to contain migration flows. This role, though controversial, has been recognised as essential for regional stability.
However, Turkey’s integration into the EU carries significant risks. Growing authoritarianism and political repression threaten the democratic cohesion of the bloc. The entry of a country with practices incompatible with European values could undermine the EU’s credibility and generate internal tensions.
Diplomatic conflicts with member states such as Greece and Cyprus could be exacerbated within the European structure, complicating decision-making and compromising political unity. Managing divergent interests would be complex and potentially paralysing.
The risk of institutional destabilisation is also relevant. Turkey’s entry would require significant adaptation of European institutions, notably in the European Parliament, where the number of Turkish deputies would impact the political balance. Full integration could provoke resistance among member states and fuel Eurosceptic movements.
Furthermore, the issue of religious freedom and secularism-pillars of the EU-could be tested in a country where political Islam has gained ground. Cultural and social compatibility would be a challenge, requiring efforts in integration and intercultural dialogue.
Thus, the relationship between Turkey and the EU is complex, multifaceted, and marked by advances and setbacks. Turkey represents both a strategic opportunity and a political challenge. Full integration would require deep reforms, mutual commitments, and a redefinition of Europe’s cultural and institutional boundaries.
The EU must continue to engage with Turkey, promoting democratic values and encouraging reform. The rapprochement should not be abandoned, but rather conditioned on respect for the fundamental principles that underpin the European project.
Turkey, for its part, must decide whether it wishes to be a full partner of Europe or pursue an autonomous path-with all the implications that entails. The bridge between East and West still stands, but crossing it requires courage, vision, and a commitment to the values that unite the peoples of Europe.
The rise of far-right populist parties across various European nations poses a significant challenge to political consensus and undermines core European Union values, such as the rule of law and the protection of minority rights. Starting with the factors fueling the rise of far-right populist parties, it is essential to acknowledge the growing dissatisfaction among citizens regarding the traditional political landscape. Economic instability, unemployment, and social inequality have left many feeling disenchanted with mainstream political entities. Events such as the 2008 financial crisis heightened public awareness of these issues, exacerbating sentiments of insecurity and disenfranchisement. During this time, populist parties began to capitalize on citizens’ grievances, positioning themselves as alternatives that promise to restore national pride and address the concerns overlooked by established parties.
Moreover, globalization has played a crucial role in fostering these sentiments. As Europeans have experienced an influx of immigrants and refugees, fears over cultural homogenization and job competition have fueled anti-immigrant sentiment. The far-right has effectively utilized these fears, creating narratives that frame immigrants as threats to national identity. Political leaders such as Marine Le Pen in France and Matteo Salvini in Italy have employed rhetoric that emphasizes national sovereignty and security, leading to increased support for their respective parties.
The influence of the media in shaping public opinion cannot be overlooked. Social media platforms have enabled far-right populist parties to bypass traditional media channels, allowing them to spread their messages directly to the public. This shift has created information echo chambers, where misinformation and extremist views can thrive, further polarizing society. The case of the Alternative for Germany party illustrates this trend, as its leaders effectively used social media to reach a broad audience, promoting an anti-immigrant and Eurosceptic agenda.
The consequences of this internal political fragmentation are multifaceted. On one hand, the rise of far-right populist parties often results in a breakdown of political consensus. In countries such as Hungary under Viktor Orbán, the ruling party has systematically weakened democratic institutions and attacked the independence of the judiciary. Such actions undermine the rule of law, a fundamental principle within the European Union. The situation in Poland further showcases these dangers, as the Law and Justice Party has pursued policies that threaten judicial independence and media freedom.
On the other hand, the growing influence of far-right populism threatens to dismantle the delicate fabric of minority rights that the EU has worked to establish. Populist parties often adopt exclusionary policies that marginalize vulnerable groups, including migrants and ethnic minorities. This shift in political discourse can lead to an increased normalization of xenophobic attitudes and violence against minorities. For instance, hate crimes against immigrants rose significantly in various European countries, signaling a troubling societal shift.
Key individuals have played pivotal roles in the rise of far-right populism. Figures like Marine Le Pen, who leads the National Rally in France, have sought to rebrand their parties, distancing themselves from overtly extremist rhetoric. Le Pen’s efforts to soften the party’s image have indeed garnered support among more moderate voters. Similarly, leaders like Matteo Salvini have harnessed media and public sentiment to forge alliances with other far-right parties across Europe, seeking to create a cohesive populist movement.
Various perspectives exist concerning the response to this rise in far-right populism. Proponents argue that addressing the underlying grievances of disillusioned citizens is essential for countering the influence of these parties. This means ensuring economic stability, enhancing social cohesion, and promoting inclusive policies that recognize the contributions of immigrants. A more responsive political environment could reinvigorate faith in traditional parties.
However, opponents warn against normalizing far-right rhetoric. Democratic institutions and civil society must remain vigilant against the encroachment of extremist ideologies. Upholding the values of tolerance, inclusivity, and the protection of rights for all individuals is crucial in this struggle. The EU must not only advocate against the erosion of democratic norms but also support member states in addressing societal divisions.
Looking to the future, the trajectory of far-right populism within Europe remains uncertain. While these parties have achieved considerable success recently, their fate may hinge on their ability to translate populist sentiments into effective governance. If populist parties fail to deliver on their promises, public support may wane, providing an opportunity for mainstream parties to reclaim the political narrative.
In conclusion, the rise of far-right populist parties in various European countries signifies a profound internal political fragmentation that threatens political consensus and core EU values. By examining the factors behind this trend, its impacts, key players involved, varying perspectives, and potential future developments, one can better understand the challenges faced by contemporary European politics. As Europe grapples with issues of identity, governance, and social cohesion, the balancing act between embracing diversity and ensuring security will prove crucial in safeguarding democratic values for years to come.
References:
Michał Stambulski, and Karolina Kocemba. "Populism, non-state actors and right-wing legal mobilization in Europe | International Journal of Law in Context | Cambridge Core." www.cambridge.org, 01 Sep. 2024, https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/international-journal-of-law-in-context/article/populism-nonstate-actors-and-rightwing-legal-mobilization-in-europe/782B892FE6FBB9B1423935088B3B4EA7.
Debashis Chatterjee, Satish Krishnan, and Pramukh Nanjundaswamy Vasist. "The Polarizing Impact of Political Disinformation and Hate Speech: A Cross-country Configural Narrative - PMC." pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov, 17 Apr. 2023, https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10106894/.
Tim Immerzeel, and Jasper Muis. "Causes and consequences of the rise of populist radical right parties and movements in Europe - PMC." pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov, 14 Jul. 2017, https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5600260/.
Katharina Lawall, Sara B. Hobolt, and James Tilley. "The Polarizing Effect of Partisan Echo Chambers | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core." www.cambridge.org, 01 Aug. 2024, https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/american-political-science-review/article/polarizing-effect-of-partisan-echo-chambers/5044B63A13A458A97CA747E9DCA07228.
Oliver Schmidtke. "The ‘Will of the People’: The Populist Challenge to Democracy in the Name of Popular Sovereignty - PMC." pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov, 29 Jan. 2023, https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10651415/.
The ongoing conflict in Ukraine has profound implications for European security, challenging the unity of member states and testing their commitment to collective defense and democratic values.
The war in Ukraine began in 2014, when Russia annexed Crimea, leading to increased tensions in Eastern Europe. Since then, the situation has escalated with a full-scale invasion launched by Russia in February 2022. This act violated international law and sparked widespread condemnation from European nations and beyond. The EU's response included imposing severe economic sanctions on Russia, aiming to weaken its military capabilities while sending a strong political message in support of Ukrainian sovereignty.
The conflict has significantly altered the security landscape in Europe. For decades, Europe enjoyed relative peace, especially after the end of the Cold War. The war in Ukraine has shattered this illusion, highlighting the fragility of security arrangements established after World War II. Member states are now grappling with the reality of threats on their borders and the need for collective defense mechanisms. The principle of mutual defense, enshrined in NATO's Article 5, has gained renewed importance. Countries such as Poland and the Baltic states, which are geographically closer to Russia, have heightened their military readiness.
Influential political figures have played crucial roles in shaping responses to the conflict. Leaders such as German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, French President Emmanuel Macron, and British Prime Minister Boris Johnson have worked to unify European nations in their stance against Russian aggression. Scholz's decision to send arms to Ukraine marked a significant shift in Germany's defense policy, while Macron's approach sought to balance military readiness with diplomatic engagement. These leaders, among others, have emphasized the need for a united front not just for Ukraine's sake, but for the future of European security as a whole.
The EU's approach involves a delicate balance between military support for Ukraine and a commitment to diplomacy. The Union has provided military aid, financial assistance, and humanitarian support to Ukraine while simultaneously promoting dialogue for conflict resolution. This dual approach reflects the EU's core values of upholding human rights and democratic principles. However, the challenge lies in the long-term consequences of military involvement. Increased military spending and resources devoted to arms procurement raise questions about the EU's capacity to invest in social programs and economic development.
Moreover, the war has raised significant human rights concerns. Reports of atrocities committed in conflict zones highlight the need for robust mechanisms to protect civilians and respond to war crimes. The EU's promotion of human rights must remain central in its response to the war. Support for Ukraine is not merely military; it involves humanitarian assistance, protection of refugees, and restoration of war-torn communities. Achieving a balance between military aid and human rights advocacy remains crucial to maintaining the legitimacy of European actions.
Different perspectives on the war also shape the EU's responses. While most European countries have rallied behind Ukraine, some member states exhibit hesitance. Countries that have strong ties with Russia or rely heavily on Russian energy resources, such as Hungary, express caution in supporting escalating military actions. This divergence highlights the complexities of solidarity within the EU, where national interests may sometimes conflict with collective security goals.
The broader implications for European security stretch beyond immediate responses to the Ukrainian conflict. They raise questions about the future of NATO and the EU's role in global security. The war has united many member states in a renewed commitment to defense spending and military readiness. Nonetheless, fostering a united European defense identity remains a long-term challenge, particularly as member states balance their own national interests.
Looking to the future, the conflict in Ukraine is likely to continue shaping European security dynamics. A durable peace will require comprehensive negotiations that address not only territorial disputes but also the underlying issues of security and cooperation in the region. The EU's role will be pivotal in fostering alliances, mediating interests, and promoting stability through economic and political integration. However, the path to peace remains fraught with challenges, as the international community grapples with the implications of a resurgent Russia and shifting geopolitical realities.
In conclusion, the war in Ukraine has fundamentally altered the landscape of European security. It has tested the unity of European nations and raised questions about the balance between military support and adherence to democratic values and human rights. Influential leaders have sought to navigate this complex terrain, emphasizing both military readiness and diplomatic efforts. As Europe faces the future, it must remain vigilant in balancing security needs with its foundational principles, recognizing that the struggle for peace and stability in the region is far from over. The lessons learned from this conflict will likely shape the continent's security policy for years to come.
References:
Eva Michaels. "Full article: (Not) Coming of age? Unpacking the European Union’s quest for strategic autonomy in security and defence." www.tandfonline.com, https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09662839.2024.2376603.
Ivan Krastev, and Mark Leonard. "The meaning of sovereignty: Ukrainian and European views of Russia’s war on Ukraine | ECFR." ecfr.eu, 02 Jul. 2024, https://ecfr.eu/publication/the-meaning-of-sovereignty-ukrainian-and-european-views-of-russias-war-on-ukraine/.
Unknown Author. "Untitled." onlinelibrary.wiley.com, https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/glob.12502.
Mahedi, Hasan, and Mahedi Hasan. "Russia–Ukraine Propaganda on Social Media: A Bibliometric Analysis." www.mdpi.com, 01 Sep. 2024, https://www.mdpi.com/2673-5172/5/3/62.
Azeta Tartaraj. "Economic effects of the war in Ukraine and recession - PMC." pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov, 09 Oct. 2023, https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10811416/.
Rajan Menon, and William Ruger. "NATO enlargement and US grand strategy: a net assessment - PMC." pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov, 11 May. 2020, https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7212247/.
Rokicki, Bórawski, Piotr, Piotr Bórawski, Tomasz, András, András Szeberényi, Tomasz Rokicki, and Szeberényi. "The Impact of the 2020–2022 Crises on EU Countries’ Independence from Energy Imports, Particularly from Russia." www.mdpi.com, 01 Jan. 2023, https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/18/6629.
The accession of North Macedonia into the European Union offers numerous benefits that could significantly enhance the country's political, economic, and social landscape. The path towards EU membership for North Macedonia has been both arduous and complex. Following the dissolution of Yugoslavia in the early 1990s, North Macedonia declared independence in 1991. The country faced numerous challenges, including political instability, economic hardship, and ethnic tension. However, the desire to become part of the European Union emerged as a unifying goal among different political parties and communities. The formal start of EU accession talks in 2020 marked a significant milestone in this journey, reflecting the EU's ongoing commitment to the Western Balkans and the country's progress towards fulfilling membership criteria.
One of the most significant benefits of EU accession is the potential for economic development. Membership in the EU establishes access to a single market containing over 450 million consumers. This access could lead to an increase in exports, attracting foreign investment, and creating new jobs. Economic projections indicate that a successful accession could contribute to higher GDP growth rates over time. For instance, countries like Croatia and Slovenia, which joined the EU in the past, witnessed substantial economic benefits, making a strong case for North Macedonia to pursue a similar trajectory. This accession would also enhance trade relations with EU member states, fostering an environment conducive to entrepreneurship and innovation.
Political stability is another crucial benefit of EU membership. The European Union prioritizes democracy, human rights, and the rule of law, which could facilitate significant political reforms in North Macedonia. Strengthening democratic institutions and reducing corruption would be paramount in ensuring the country's governance aligns with EU standards. The accession process encourages adherence to a comprehensive set of political criteria known as the Copenhagen criteria. These criteria include democracy, a functioning market economy, and the capability to take on the obligations of EU membership. By addressing these areas, North Macedonia could improve its governance and foster a more stable political environment.
In addition to economic and political stability, the social benefits of EU accession could be profound. Membership could enhance the quality of education and healthcare services in the country, as EU funding often supports infrastructure development in these sectors. Improved education systems would equip the younger generation with skills necessary for a competitive labor market. Moreover, cultural exchanges and mobility programs could provide North Macedonians with opportunities to study, work, and experience life in various EU member states. This increased interaction would foster mutual understanding and tolerance among diverse communities, contributing to a more cohesive society.
The path to accession is not without its challenges. North Macedonia has faced issues related to identity and historical disputes, particularly with Greece over its name, which resulted in a long-standing diplomatic crisis. The Prespa Agreement of 2018 resolved this issue by changing the country's name from the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia to North Macedonia, thus paving the way for closer ties with Greece and the EU. This agreement illustrates the importance of diplomacy in resolving regional tensions and highlights the role of influential leaders like Zoran Zaev, the former Prime Minister, who championed the compromise.
Another challenge is the implementation of necessary reforms to meet EU standards. This includes actions to combat corruption, enhance the independence of the judiciary, and improve civil rights. While progress has been made, it requires consistent effort and public support to ensure these reforms are sustainable over time. Additionally, the EU’s fluctuating commitment to enlargement in the Western Balkans can present uncertainties for North Macedonia's accession timeline. This calls for persistent advocacy from both the government and civil society to maintain pressure for reforms and EU engagement.
Looking toward the future, North Macedonia's potential accession to the EU carries promising implications for regional cooperation. The Balkan region has historically experienced conflicts and divisions. EU membership could strengthen cooperation between North Macedonia and its neighbors, promoting regional stability and economic integration. Joining the EU also facilitates participation in various collaborative initiatives, such as security cooperation, environmental sustainability, and cultural exchanges, all vital for fostering peace and development in the region.
In conclusion, the accession of North Macedonia into the European Union can provide substantial benefits ranging from economic growth and political stability to social improvement and regional cooperation. While challenges remain on the journey to membership, the progress made thus far reflects the determination of the North Macedonian people and their leaders to achieve this objective. By addressing internal challenges and pursuing necessary reforms, North Macedonia can enhance its prospects for EU membership, ultimately leading to a brighter future for its citizens and contributing to the stability of the Western Balkans. The journey might be complex, but the potential rewards underscore the importance of this endeavor for North Macedonia and the broader region.
References:
Petar Bogojeski. "EUROPEAN DEVELOPMENT FUNDS IN THE ECONOMY OF NORTH MACEDONIA (2021–2027) | SCIENCE International Journal." scienceij.com, 20 May. 2025, https://scienceij.com/index.php/sij/article/view/61.
Unknown Author. "Institut Jacques Delors - North Macedonia’s EU path: Challenges and opportunities in 2025." institutdelors.eu, 06 May. 2025, https://institutdelors.eu/en/publications/north-macedonias-eu-path-challenges-and-opportunities-in-2025/.
Unknown Author. "How EU Enlargement Could Transform European Defence: Scenarios for a 2030 Agenda - The SAIS Review of International Affairs." saisreview.sais.jhu.edu, 02 Dec. 2024, https://saisreview.sais.jhu.edu/how-eu-enlargement-could-transform-european-defence-scenarios-for-a-2030-agenda/.
Miranda Sabriu Bexheti. "The Impact of EU Integration on the Political, Economic and Social Systems of Republic of North Macedonia (As a Candidate Country) | International Journal of Law and Politics Studies." al-kindipublisher.com, 05 Feb. 2024, https://al-kindipublisher.com/index.php/ijlps/article/view/6684.
Marjan Petreski, and Magdalena Olczyk. "(PDF) Foreign Direct Investment and Job Creation in EU Regions." www.researchgate.net, 31 Mar. 2025, https://www.researchgate.net/publication/390404503_Foreign_Direct_Investment_and_Job_Creation_in_EU_Regions.
Basheska, and Elena. "EU Enlargement in Disregard of the Rule of Law: A Way Forward Following the Unsuccessful Dispute Settlement Between Croatia and Slovenia and the Name Change of Macedonia | Hague Journal on the Rule of Law." link.springer.com, 01 Dec. 2022, https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40803-022-00169-7.
Ardit Ginali. "The importance of regional EU member states in the Berlin Process: The guided integration of the Western Balkans - Ardit Ginali, 2023." journals.sagepub.com, 06 Apr. 2023, https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/17816858231168734.
Mevludin Ibish, and Sezer Ferhad. "(PDF) North Macedonia's challenging path to EU integration." www.researchgate.net, 20 Jan. 2024, https://www.researchgate.net/publication/377576682_North_Macedonia's_challenging_path_to_EU_integration.